Flamengo 89-75 Pato Basket

Finished

For this NBB match, BetFTW's top pick is Flamengo to win with -26.5 handicap, with a 54% estimated probability. We also predict Flamengo to win with -24.5 handicap at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Flamengo to win with -26.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Med 26.1/100
    Odds 2.65 Lilibet Recorded P/L -26.12
    Best odds 2.65 Lilibet
  2. Pick 2 Flamengo to win with -24.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 24.6/100
    Odds 2.19 Betclic Recorded P/L -26.20
    Best odds 2.25 Lilibet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 163.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 5.4/100
    Odds 1.83 Bodog Recorded P/L -5.40
    Best odds 1.83 Bodog
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Flamengo to win with -26.5 handicap 54.0% 2.65 37.7% +16.3 pp
Flamengo to win with -24.5 handicap 59.0% 2.25 44.4% +14.6 pp
Total score under 163.0 57.0% 1.83 54.6% +2.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Flamengo

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
29 Dec 2022 Franca Home 59-69 L
27 Dec 2022 Rio Claro Home 110-57 W
22 Dec 2022 Paulistano Away 90-84 W
20 Dec 2022 Sao Paulo FC Away 91-66 W
14 Dec 2022 Instituto De Cordoba Home 81-89 L

Pato Basket

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Jan 2023 Cerrado Iesplan Away 110-109 W
3 Jan 2023 Brasilia Away 66-79 L
21 Dec 2022 Minas Home 74-88 L
6 Dec 2022 Caxias Do Sul Away 84-73 W
30 Nov 2022 Pinheiros Home 95-76 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Flamengo 10 83.2 70.3
Pato Basket 10 76.7 84.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Flamengo and Pato Basket in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
22 Oct 2022 NBB Pato Basket vs Flamengo 64-91
3 Feb 2022 NBB Pato Basket vs Flamengo 87-93
3 Nov 2021 NBB Flamengo vs Pato Basket 94-62