Hawke's Bay Hawks 102-109 Manawatu Jets

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Manawatu Jets to win, with a 32% estimated probability. We also predict Hawke's Bay Hawks to win at 68%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Manawatu Jets to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    32%
    Stake Low 20.7/100
    Odds 7.00 Fezbet Recorded P/L +124.02
    Best odds 7.00 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Hawke's Bay Hawks to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Low 0.0/100
    Odds 1.25 Bwin Recorded P/L -22.29
    Best odds 1.70 William Hill
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Manawatu Jets to win 32.0% 7.00 14.3% +17.7 pp
Hawke's Bay Hawks to win 68.0% 1.70 58.8% +9.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Hawke's Bay Hawks

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Apr 2026 Taranaki Mountain Airs Away 84-93 L
28 Jun 2025 Wellington Saints Home 81-99 L
20 Jun 2025 Southland Sharks Home 76-92 L
15 Jun 2025 Taranaki Mountain Airs Home 72-84 L
7 Jun 2025 Canterbury Rams Home 78-110 L

Manawatu Jets

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Apr 2026 Wellington Saints Away 81-117 L
9 Apr 2026 Taranaki Mountain Airs Home 85-91 L
6 Jul 2025 Otago Nuggets Home 95-101 L
22 Jun 2025 Canterbury Rams Home 92-86 W
8 Jun 2025 Nelson Giants Away 89-109 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Hawke's Bay Hawks 10 85.0 98.0
Manawatu Jets 10 89.8 100.2

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Hawke's Bay Hawks and Manawatu Jets in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
15 Mar 2025 NBL Hawke's Bay Hawks vs Manawatu Jets 103-100
6 Jul 2024 NBL Hawke's Bay Hawks vs Manawatu Jets 97-78
11 Apr 2024 NBL Manawatu Jets vs Hawke's Bay Hawks 89-92
15 Jul 2023 NBL Hawke's Bay Hawks vs Manawatu Jets 106-81
7 May 2023 NBL Manawatu Jets vs Hawke's Bay Hawks 93-88