Sydney Kings 101-102 NZ Breakers

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is under 184.0 points, with a 66% estimated probability. We also predict NZ Breakers to win at 26%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 184.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 40.8/100
    Odds 2.35 Fezbet Recorded P/L -40.81
    Best odds 2.35 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 NZ Breakers to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    26%
    Stake Low 13.0/100
    Odds 6.70 1xBet Recorded P/L +84.61
    Best odds 7.10 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 184.0 66.0% 2.35 42.6% +23.4 pp
NZ Breakers to win 26.0% 7.10 14.1% +11.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Sydney Kings

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Adelaide 36ers Home 78-84 L
30 Sep 2026 Brisbane Bullets Home 93-78 W
27 Sep 2026 Illawarra Hawks Home 121-100 W
20 Sep 2026 Cairns Taipans Home 111-90 W
5 Apr 2026 Adelaide 36ers Home 113-101 W

NZ Breakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Perth Wildcats Away 84-100 L
4 Oct 2026 Adelaide 36ers Away 88-72 W
30 Sep 2026 Cairns Taipans Home 98-75 W
26 Sep 2026 Perth Wildcats Away 93-97 L
22 Sep 2026 Brisbane Bullets Away 85-88 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Sydney Kings 10 100.3 87.2
NZ Breakers 10 96.4 89.1

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Sydney Kings and NZ Breakers in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
9 Jan 2026 NBL NZ Breakers vs Sydney Kings 62-103
3 Dec 2025 NBL NZ Breakers vs Sydney Kings 95-90
9 Nov 2025 NBL Sydney Kings vs NZ Breakers 79-72
4 Oct 2025 NBL Sydney Kings vs NZ Breakers 97-75
20 Dec 2024 NBL NZ Breakers vs Sydney Kings 84-92