Aris 74-57 Marousi

Finished

For this A1 match, BetFTW's top pick is Aris to win with -15.5 handicap, with a 57% estimated probability. We also predict Aris to win with -16.5 handicap at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Aris to win with -15.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 12.7/100
    Odds 1.97 1xBet Recorded P/L +34.99
    Best odds 2.37 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Aris to win with -16.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 10.2/100
    Odds 2.05 DraftKings Recorded P/L +11.33
    Best odds 2.06 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Marousi to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    18%
    Stake Low 9.6/100
    Odds 10.70 1xBet Recorded P/L -9.55
    Best odds 10.70 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Aris to win with -15.5 handicap 57.0% 2.37 42.2% +14.8 pp
Aris to win with -16.5 handicap 54.0% 2.06 48.5% +5.5 pp
Marousi to win 18.0% 10.70 9.3% +8.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Aris

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Oct 2026 Derthona Home 88-68 W
10 Oct 2026 AEK Athens Home 88-58 W
7 Oct 2026 San Pablo Burgos Home 93-80 W
3 Oct 2026 Karditsa Away 68-74 L
29 Sep 2026 Le Mans Away 87-74 W

Marousi

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Oct 2026 AEK Athens Away 70-91 L
25 Apr 2026 PAOK Away 85-101 L
18 Apr 2026 Kolossos Rhodes Home 108-93 W
29 Mar 2026 Iraklis Away 91-72 W
14 Mar 2026 Peristeri Home 61-84 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Aris 10 84.4 76.7
Marousi 10 83.0 87.5

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Aris and Marousi in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
7 Mar 2026 A1 Aris vs Marousi 102-76
17 Feb 2026 National Cup Marousi vs Aris 87-80
18 Oct 2025 A1 Marousi vs Aris 108-103
17 May 2025 A1 Aris vs Marousi 114-109
26 Apr 2025 A1 Marousi vs Aris 91-68