South East Melbourne Phoenix 115-83 Cairns Taipans

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with -5.5 handicap, with a 61% estimated probability. We also predict South East Melbourne Phoenix to win at 71%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with -5.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Med 26.8/100
    Odds 2.14 DraftKings Recorded P/L +30.54
    Best odds 2.14 DraftKings
  2. Pick 2 South East Melbourne Phoenix to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Low 19.2/100
    Odds 1.56 FanDuel Recorded P/L +22.12
    Best odds 1.72 Mostbet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 195.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 8.0/100
    Odds 2.00 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -8.00
    Best odds 2.00 Vbet Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with -5.5 handicap 61.0% 2.14 46.7% +14.3 pp
South East Melbourne Phoenix to win 71.0% 1.72 58.1% +12.9 pp
Total score under 195.0 54.0% 2.00 50.0% +4.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

South East Melbourne Phoenix

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Oct 2026 Brisbane Bullets Away 105-115 L
10 Oct 2026 Melbourne United Home 99-104 L
4 Oct 2026 Illawarra Hawks Home 113-96 W
2 Oct 2026 Perth Wildcats Away 88-92 L
24 Sep 2026 Melbourne United Home 61-86 L

Cairns Taipans

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Illawarra Hawks Away 110-100 W
8 Oct 2026 Brisbane Bullets Home 97-91 W
3 Oct 2026 Melbourne United Away 107-95 W
30 Sep 2026 NZ Breakers Away 75-98 L
27 Sep 2026 Adelaide 36ers Away 69-83 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
South East Melbourne Phoenix 10 95.1 97.2
Cairns Taipans 10 89.1 94.1

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between South East Melbourne Phoenix and Cairns Taipans in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
24 Jan 2026 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans 118-91
31 Dec 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 96-111
14 Nov 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 90-101
20 Sep 2025 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Cairns Taipans 114-77
14 Jan 2025 NBL Cairns Taipans vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 102-113