Sao Paulo 0-0 Atletico Mineiro

Finished

For this Serie A match, BetFTW's top pick is Sao Paulo to win, with a 42% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Sao Paulo to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    42%
    Stake Low 20.0/100
    Odds 3.64 1xBet Recorded P/L -20.03
    Best odds 3.64 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    46%
    Stake Low 15.5/100
    Odds 2.77 1xBet Recorded P/L -15.49
    Best odds 2.77 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Atletico Mineiro to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    30%
    Stake Low 0.0/100
    Odds 2.38 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -11.58
    Best odds 4.80 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Sao Paulo to win 42.0% 3.64 27.5% +14.5 pp
Total score over 2.5 46.0% 2.77 36.1% +9.9 pp
Atletico Mineiro to win 30.0% 4.80 20.8% +9.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Sao Paulo

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Sep 2021 America Mineiro Home 0-0 D
19 Sep 2021 Atletico Goianiense Home 2-1 W
16 Sep 2021 Fortaleza EC Away 1-3 L
13 Sep 2021 Fluminense Away 1-2 L
29 Aug 2021 EC Juventude Away 1-1 D

Atletico Mineiro

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Sep 2021 Palmeiras Away 0-0 D
18 Sep 2021 Sport Recife Home 3-0 W
15 Sep 2021 Fluminense Home 1-0 W
12 Sep 2021 Fortaleza EC Away 2-0 W
30 Aug 2021 Bragantino Away 1-1 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Sao Paulo 10 1.10 1.40
Atletico Mineiro 10 1.70 0.30

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Sao Paulo and Atletico Mineiro in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
13 Jun 2021 Serie A Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo 1-0
17 Dec 2020 Serie A Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro 3-0