Sport Recife 0-1 Fortaleza EC

Finished

For this Serie A match, BetFTW's top pick is Sport Recife to win, with a 38% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 44%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Sport Recife to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    38%
    Stake Low 17.7/100
    Odds 4.05 Novibet Recorded P/L -17.67
    Best odds 4.05 Novibet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    44%
    Stake Low 9.6/100
    Odds 2.63 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -12.00
    Best odds 2.75 Bet9ja
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Sport Recife to win 38.0% 4.05 24.7% +13.3 pp
Total score over 2.5 44.0% 2.75 36.4% +7.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Sport Recife

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Sep 2021 Atletico Mineiro Away 0-3 L
14 Sep 2021 Internacional Home 0-1 L
5 Sep 2021 Atletico Paranaense Away 0-0 D
28 Aug 2021 Chapecoense Home 0-0 D
23 Aug 2021 Sao Paulo Home 0-1 L

Fortaleza EC

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Sep 2021 Internacional Away 0-1 L
16 Sep 2021 Sao Paulo Home 3-1 W
12 Sep 2021 Atletico Mineiro Home 0-2 L
5 Sep 2021 Bahia Away 2-4 L
31 Aug 2021 Cuiaba Home 0-0 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Sport Recife 10 0.20 0.70
Fortaleza EC 10 1.30 1.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Sport Recife and Fortaleza EC in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
14 Jun 2021 Serie A Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife 1-0
6 Jan 2021 Serie A Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC 1-0