Tusker 1-0 Nzoia United

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is under 2.5 goals, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict Nzoia United to win at 22%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 22.7/100
    Odds 2.13 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +25.67
    Best odds 2.13 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Nzoia United to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    22%
    Stake Low 14.2/100
    Odds 11.00 Betobet Recorded P/L -15.50
    Best odds 13.00 Suprabets
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    27%
    Stake Low 9.6/100
    Odds 5.20 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -9.62
    Best odds 5.20 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 2.5 59.0% 2.13 46.9% +12.1 pp
Nzoia United to win 22.0% 13.00 7.7% +14.3 pp
Draw 27.0% 5.20 19.2% +7.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Tusker

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Apr 2024 Ulinzi Stars Away 1-0 W
6 Apr 2024 Kariobangi Sharks Away 2-3 L
18 Feb 2024 Kenya Commercial Bank Home 2-0 W
3 Feb 2024 Bidco United Home 0-1 L
20 Jan 2024 Gor Mahia Away 0-1 L

Nzoia United

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
13 Apr 2024 Gor Mahia Home 1-3 L
17 Feb 2024 Bandari Home 1-2 L
11 Feb 2024 Bidco United Away 2-1 W
3 Feb 2024 Posta Ranger Home 0-1 L
6 Jan 2024 Bandari Away 0-1 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Tusker 10 1.80 0.80
Nzoia United 10 0.90 1.50

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Tusker and Nzoia United in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
17 Dec 2023 Premier League Nzoia United vs Tusker 0-2
22 Apr 2023 Premier League Nzoia United vs Tusker 1-0
14 Jan 2023 Premier League Tusker vs Nzoia United 0-0
19 Dec 2021 Premier League Nzoia United vs Tusker 0-1
18 Aug 2021 Premier League Nzoia United vs Tusker 0-0