Man City 2-4 PSG

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is Man City to win, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 72%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Man City to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake High 54.3/100
    Odds 2.32 Betano Recorded P/L -54.30
    Best odds 2.32 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Low 11.1/100
    Odds 1.46 Novibet Recorded P/L +5.12
    Best odds 1.46 Novibet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Man City to win 74.0% 2.32 43.1% +30.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 72.0% 1.46 68.5% +3.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Man City

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Liverpool Away 3-0 W
20 Sep 2026 Sunderland Home 5-3 W
17 Sep 2026 Norwich Home 5-0 W
13 Sep 2026 Man Utd Away 1-0 W
8 Sep 2026 Porto Away 2-0 W

PSG

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Le Mans Home 3-1 W
20 Sep 2026 Marseille Away 2-1 W
13 Sep 2026 Brest Away 1-0 W
9 Sep 2026 Slovan Bratislava Home 6-1 W
4 Sep 2026 Monaco Home 1-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Man City 10 2.60 0.90
PSG 10 1.80 1.20