Lech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen

Finished

For this Europa League match, BetFTW's top pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 72% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 75%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Bayer Leverkusen to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 30.2/100
    Odds 1.67 Betano Recorded P/L +23.84
    Best odds 1.72 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Med 27.8/100
    Odds 1.53 Betano Recorded P/L +14.75
    Best odds 1.53 Betano
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Bayer Leverkusen to win 72.0% 1.72 58.1% +13.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 75.0% 1.53 65.4% +9.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Lech Poznan

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Slask Wroclaw Away 4-1 W
20 Sep 2026 Radomiak Radom Home 5-1 W
17 Sep 2026 Crystal Palace Away 0-4 L
6 Sep 2026 Rakow Czestochowa Home 1-0 W
3 Sep 2026 Jagiellonia Bialystok Home 2-1 W

Bayer Leverkusen

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Mainz Away 4-3 W
20 Sep 2026 RB Leipzig Home 2-0 W
16 Sep 2026 NK Celje Home 2-0 W
12 Sep 2026 Augsburg Away 2-2 D
5 Sep 2026 Union Berlin Home 4-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Lech Poznan 10 2.90 1.20
Bayer Leverkusen 10 2.80 1.00