Paris FC 4-3 Rennes

Finished

For this Ligue 1 match, BetFTW's top pick is Rennes to win, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 72%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Rennes to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Med 42.9/100
    Odds 3.55 Stake.com Recorded P/L -42.92
    Best odds 3.55 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 30.8/100
    Odds 1.68 Novibet Recorded P/L +24.48
    Best odds 1.73 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Rennes to win 59.0% 3.55 28.2% +30.8 pp
Total score over 2.5 72.0% 1.73 57.8% +14.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Paris FC

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Lorient Away 0-1 L
19 Sep 2026 Strasbourg Home 2-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Lyon Home 0-0 D
6 Sep 2026 Marseille Away 3-2 W
30 Aug 2026 Nice Home 3-0 W

Rennes

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Oct 2026 OFI Crete Home 2-1 W
11 Oct 2026 Auxerre Home 4-1 W
2 Oct 2026 Laval Away 0-1 L
19 Sep 2026 Lyon Away 0-4 L
16 Sep 2026 Sturm Graz Away 0-0 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Paris FC 10 1.70 0.90
Rennes 10 1.70 1.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Paris FC and Rennes in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
10 May 2026 Ligue 1 Rennes vs Paris FC 2-1
7 Nov 2025 Ligue 1 Paris FC vs Rennes 0-1