SSD Monza 4-0 Cagliari

Finished

For this Serie A match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 60% estimated probability. We also predict SSD Monza to win at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    60%
    Stake Low 23.6/100
    Odds 2.10 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +28.97
    Best odds 2.15 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 SSD Monza to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 21.4/100
    Odds 2.75 1xBet Recorded P/L +37.36
    Best odds 2.75 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 60.0% 2.15 46.5% +13.5 pp
SSD Monza to win 50.0% 2.75 36.4% +13.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

SSD Monza

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Lazio Away 1-3 L
18 Sep 2026 Sassuolo Home 2-1 W
13 Sep 2026 Lecce Away 2-3 L
6 Sep 2026 Parma Away 1-1 D
1 Sep 2026 Torino Away 1-0 W

Cagliari

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Juventus Home 1-1 D
19 Sep 2026 Udinese Away 1-0 W
12 Sep 2026 Atalanta Away 2-1 W
7 Sep 2026 Lecce Home 1-0 W
3 Sep 2026 Verona Home 1-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
SSD Monza 10 1.80 1.80
Cagliari 10 1.10 0.70

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between SSD Monza and Cagliari in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
5 Jan 2025 Serie A SSD Monza vs Cagliari 1-2
16 Mar 2024 Serie A SSD Monza vs Cagliari 1-0
26 Nov 2023 Serie A Cagliari vs SSD Monza 1-1