PSG 4-2 Barcelona

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 83% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 27%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    83%
    Stake Low 15.0/100
    Odds 1.25 1Bet Recorded P/L +6.24
    Best odds 1.28 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    27%
    Stake Low 0.0/100
    Odds 4.90 TonyBet Recorded P/L -6.72
    Best odds 4.60 Interwetten
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 83.0% 1.28 78.1% +4.9 pp
Total score under 2.5 27.0% 4.60 21.7% +5.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

PSG

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Oct 2026 Strasbourg Away 3-1 W
14 Oct 2026 Man City Away 4-2 W
10 Oct 2026 Le Mans Home 3-1 W
20 Sep 2026 Marseille Away 2-1 W
13 Sep 2026 Brest Away 1-0 W

Barcelona

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Oct 2026 Real Betis Away 5-2 W
13 Oct 2026 Galatasaray Away 4-1 W
10 Oct 2026 Getafe Home 3-0 W
19 Sep 2026 Sevilla Away 3-1 W
16 Sep 2026 Racing Santander Home 7-2 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
PSG 10 2.20 1.30
Barcelona 10 4.30 1.10