Hoffenheim 3-0 Lyon

Finished

For this Europa League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 29%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 30.7/100
    Odds 1.60 Stake.com Recorded P/L +18.40
    Best odds 1.60 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    29%
    Stake Low 6.1/100
    Odds 4.10 bet365 Recorded P/L -6.81
    Best odds 4.20 bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 74.0% 1.60 62.5% +11.5 pp
Draw 29.0% 4.20 23.8% +5.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Hoffenheim

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Oct 2026 Borussia Monchengladbach Away 2-1 W
15 Oct 2026 Besiktas Home 2-3 L
10 Oct 2026 Hamburg Home 2-3 L
20 Sep 2026 SC Paderborn 07 Away 1-3 L
17 Sep 2026 OFI Crete Away 0-2 L

Lyon

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Oct 2026 Nice Home 2-1 W
15 Oct 2026 Crystal Palace Home 3-2 W
9 Oct 2026 Lens Away 1-2 L
19 Sep 2026 Rennes Home 4-0 W
16 Sep 2026 Anderlecht Away 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Hoffenheim 10 2.00 1.90
Lyon 10 1.90 1.00