Mirassol SP 1-1 Sao Paulo

Finished

BetFTW predicts Sao Paulo to win against Mirassol SP, with a 59% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Sao Paulo to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Med 40.8/100
    Odds 3.25 bet365 Recorded P/L -40.78
    Best odds 3.25 bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Sao Paulo to win 59.0% 3.25 30.8% +28.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Mirassol SP

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Bahia Away 0-1 L
7 Oct 2026 Red Bull Bragantino Away 1-1 D
19 Sep 2026 Botafogo RJ Home 2-0 W
13 Sep 2026 Vitoria BA Home 2-2 D
6 Sep 2026 Coritiba PR Away 2-1 W

Sao Paulo

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Oct 2026 Vasco Da Gama RJ Home 1-0 W
11 Oct 2026 Vitoria BA Home 2-1 W
8 Oct 2026 Cruzeiro Away 0-2 L
20 Sep 2026 Internacional Home 1-0 W
16 Sep 2026 Boca Juniors Home 1-1 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Mirassol SP 10 1.00 1.40
Sao Paulo 10 1.00 0.90

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Mirassol SP and Sao Paulo in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
26 Apr 2026 Serie A Sao Paulo vs Mirassol SP 1-0
11 Jan 2026 Paulista Serie A1 Mirassol SP vs Sao Paulo 3-0
19 Oct 2025 Serie A Mirassol SP vs Sao Paulo 3-0
24 May 2025 Serie A Sao Paulo vs Mirassol SP 0-2
5 Feb 2025 Paulista Serie A1 Sao Paulo vs Mirassol SP 4-1