Santos 1-1 Bahia

Finished

For this Serie A match, BetFTW's top pick is Bahia to win, with a 48% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 28%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Bahia to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Med 31.2/100
    Odds 4.10 TonyBet Recorded P/L -31.23
    Best odds 4.10 TonyBet
  2. Pick 2 Draw W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    28%
    Stake Low 5.5/100
    Odds 4.20 Betway Recorded P/L +17.60
    Best odds 4.20 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Bahia to win 48.0% 4.10 24.4% +23.6 pp
Draw 28.0% 4.20 23.8% +4.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Santos

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Atletico Mineiro Away 1-2 L
8 Oct 2026 Flamengo RJ Home 2-2 D
19 Sep 2026 Clube Do Remo Away 2-1 W
16 Sep 2026 Atletico Mineiro Away 2-4 L
13 Sep 2026 Cruzeiro Home 2-1 W

Bahia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Oct 2026 Flamengo RJ Home 0-3 L
11 Oct 2026 Mirassol SP Home 1-0 W
9 Oct 2026 Palmeiras Away 0-1 L
20 Sep 2026 Athletico Paranaense Away 1-2 L
5 Sep 2026 Red Bull Bragantino Away 3-2 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Santos 10 1.50 1.50
Bahia 10 1.40 1.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Santos and Bahia in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
25 Apr 2026 Serie A Bahia vs Santos 2-2
24 Aug 2025 Serie A Bahia vs Santos 2-0
31 May 2023 Copa do Brasil Bahia vs Santos 1-1
17 May 2023 Copa do Brasil Santos vs Bahia 0-0
10 May 2023 Serie A Santos vs Bahia 3-0