Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica

Finished

For this Primeira Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 64% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 27%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 13.3/100
    Odds 1.71 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +22.81
    Best odds 1.89 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    27%
    Stake Low 11.1/100
    Odds 5.60 FanDuel Recorded P/L -11.13
    Best odds 5.60 FanDuel
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 64.0% 1.89 52.9% +11.1 pp
Draw 27.0% 5.60 17.9% +9.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Santa Clara

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Oct 2026 CD Mafra Away 2-3 L
20 Sep 2026 Braga Home 0-0 D
13 Sep 2026 Arouca Away 2-1 W
6 Sep 2026 Rio Ave Home 4-0 W
23 Aug 2026 Famalicao Home 1-0 W

Benfica

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Oct 2026 AC Omonia Away 4-1 W
15 Oct 2026 Celtic Home 4-1 W
11 Oct 2026 Vitoria Guimaraes Home 2-0 W
20 Sep 2026 Porto Away 1-3 L
16 Sep 2026 AC Milan Away 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Santa Clara 10 1.70 1.00
Benfica 10 2.80 0.90

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Santa Clara and Benfica in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
13 Feb 2026 Primeira Liga Santa Clara vs Benfica 1-2
15 Feb 2025 Primeira Liga Santa Clara vs Benfica 0-1
30 Oct 2024 League Cup Benfica vs Santa Clara 3-0
27 May 2023 Primeira Liga Benfica vs Santa Clara 3-0
21 Jan 2023 Primeira Liga Santa Clara vs Benfica 0-3