Arouca 1-0 CD Nacional

Finished

BetFTW predicts Arouca to win against CD Nacional, with a 72% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Arouca to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 39.1/100
    Odds 1.85 Novibet Recorded P/L +35.36
    Best odds 1.88 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Arouca to win 72.0% 1.88 53.2% +18.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Arouca

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Oct 2026 CF OS Belenenses Away 4-3 W
11 Oct 2026 Estrela Amadora Home 1-0 W
13 Sep 2026 Santa Clara Home 1-2 L
7 Sep 2026 Estoril Away 0-0 D
23 Aug 2026 Porto Away 0-2 L

CD Nacional

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Oct 2026 Braga Home 1-0 W
11 Oct 2026 Rio Ave Away 2-3 L
30 Aug 2026 Estrela Amadora Home 2-3 L
23 Aug 2026 Vitoria Guimaraes Away 0-1 L
16 Aug 2026 Estoril Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Arouca 10 1.60 1.00
CD Nacional 10 0.90 1.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Arouca and CD Nacional in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
1 Feb 2025 Primeira Liga CD Nacional vs Arouca 1-2
25 Aug 2024 Primeira Liga Arouca vs CD Nacional 1-0