Melbourne Victory 1-1 Central Coast Mariners

Finished

For this A-League match, BetFTW's top pick is Central Coast Mariners to win, with a 21% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 25%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Central Coast Mariners to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    21%
    Stake Low 9.7/100
    Odds 8.00 bet365 Recorded P/L -9.71
    Best odds 8.00 bet365
  2. Pick 2 Draw W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    25%
    Stake Low 7.4/100
    Odds 5.25 Interwetten Recorded P/L +31.24
    Best odds 5.25 Interwetten
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Central Coast Mariners to win 21.0% 8.00 12.5% +8.5 pp
Draw 25.0% 5.25 19.0% +6.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Melbourne Victory

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
24 Oct 2026 Melbourne City Home 1-1 D
18 Oct 2026 Wellington Phoenix Away 1-2 L
10 Oct 2026 South Melbourne FC Away 1-1 D
9 Sep 2026 Sydney Away 2-0 W
8 Aug 2026 Western Sydney Wanderers Away 1-1 D

Central Coast Mariners

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Oct 2026 Wellington Phoenix Away 0-2 L
17 Oct 2026 Newcastle Jets Home 2-2 D
25 Apr 2026 Newcastle Jets Away 0-4 L
19 Apr 2026 Auckland FC Away 1-0 W
10 Apr 2026 Brisbane Roar Home 2-2 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Melbourne Victory 10 1.20 1.10
Central Coast Mariners 10 1.30 2.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Melbourne Victory and Central Coast Mariners in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
21 Mar 2026 A-League Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners 4-1
1 Feb 2026 A-League Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory 1-0
8 Mar 2025 A-League Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners 3-0
18 Oct 2024 A-League Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory 0-0
25 May 2024 A-League Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory 3-1