Man Utd 3-2 Roma

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is Man Utd to win, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 67%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Man Utd to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake High 54.7/100
    Odds 2.35 Novibet Recorded P/L +73.90
    Best odds 2.35 Novibet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Low 5.9/100
    Odds 1.54 Novibet Recorded P/L +3.18
    Best odds 1.54 Novibet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Man Utd to win 74.0% 2.35 42.6% +31.4 pp
Total score over 2.5 67.0% 1.54 64.9% +2.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Man Utd

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Chelsea Away 0-2 L
25 Oct 2026 Bournemouth Home 0-3 L
21 Oct 2026 Como Away 1-4 L
18 Oct 2026 Leeds Away 1-1 D
13 Oct 2026 Atletico Madrid Away 0-2 L

Roma

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Udinese Away 5-2 W
27 Oct 2026 Cagliari Home 4-2 W
20 Oct 2026 Slovan Bratislava Home 4-0 W
17 Oct 2026 Genoa Home 2-0 W
14 Oct 2026 Real Madrid Home 3-4 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Man Utd 10 1.00 1.80
Roma 10 2.50 1.20