FC Thun 3-1 Hearts

Finished

For this Europa Conference League match, BetFTW's top pick is Hearts to win, with a 49% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 65%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Hearts to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    49%
    Stake Low 24.7/100
    Odds 3.10 bet365 Recorded P/L -27.30
    Best odds 3.35 Betsson
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    65%
    Stake Low 21.8/100
    Odds 1.81 1Bet Recorded P/L +17.65
    Best odds 1.81 1Bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Hearts to win 49.0% 3.35 29.9% +19.1 pp
Total score over 2.5 65.0% 1.81 55.2% +9.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

FC Thun

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Oct 2026 HNK Hadjuk Split Home 0-1 L
15 Oct 2026 Twente Away 0-1 L
16 Sep 2026 Servette Home 2-4 L
2 Sep 2026 Lausanne Sport Home 0-0 D
30 Aug 2026 St Gallen Away 4-3 W

Hearts

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 Hibernian Home 1-2 L
28 Oct 2026 Rangers Home 2-2 D
25 Oct 2026 Motherwell Away 2-0 W
22 Oct 2026 Trabzonspor Away 0-2 L
18 Oct 2026 Celtic Away 1-7 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
FC Thun 10 1.50 2.50
Hearts 10 1.60 1.80