Twente 3-1 Pafos

Finished

For this Europa Conference League match, BetFTW's top pick is Twente to win, with a 77% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 41%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Twente to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    77%
    Stake Med 35.2/100
    Odds 1.55 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +19.35
    Best odds 1.55 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    41%
    Stake Low 9.1/100
    Odds 2.85 10bet Recorded P/L -9.11
    Best odds 2.85 10bet
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 8.4/100
    Odds 1.81 1Bet Recorded P/L +6.79
    Best odds 1.81 1Bet
  4. Pick 4 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    19%
    Stake Low 5.9/100
    Odds 7.20 Betsson Recorded P/L -5.94
    Best odds 7.20 Betsson
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Twente to win 77.0% 1.55 64.5% +12.5 pp
Total score under 2.5 41.0% 2.85 35.1% +5.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 59.0% 1.81 55.2% +3.8 pp
Draw 19.0% 7.20 13.9% +5.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Twente

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 S.B.V. Excelsior Away 9-0 W
25 Oct 2026 AZ Alkmaar Away 2-0 W
18 Oct 2026 Utrecht Home 1-2 L
15 Oct 2026 FC Thun Home 1-0 W
10 Oct 2026 Fortuna Sittard Away 1-1 D

Pafos

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Apollon Limassol Away 2-2 D
26 Oct 2026 Nea Salamis Famagusta Away 0-0 D
22 Oct 2026 Riga FC Home 1-1 D
19 Oct 2026 APOEL Home 0-0 D
15 Oct 2026 Atalanta Away 1-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Twente 10 2.60 0.80
Pafos 10 0.90 0.90