Famalicao 1-0 Arouca

Finished

For this Primeira Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 38% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 62%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    38%
    Stake Low 13.7/100
    Odds 3.55 Bet9ja Recorded P/L -13.69
    Best odds 3.55 Bet9ja
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Low 8.8/100
    Odds 1.71 1xBet Recorded P/L +16.47
    Best odds 1.91 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 38.0% 3.55 28.2% +9.8 pp
Total score under 2.5 62.0% 1.91 52.4% +9.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Famalicao

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 Braga Away 0-3 L
29 Oct 2026 Braga Away 2-2 D
25 Oct 2026 Rio Ave Away 4-0 W
18 Oct 2026 USC Paredes Away 0-1 L
12 Oct 2026 Alverca FC Home 1-4 L

Arouca

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 CD Nacional Home 1-0 W
18 Oct 2026 CF OS Belenenses Away 4-3 W
11 Oct 2026 Estrela Amadora Home 1-0 W
13 Sep 2026 Santa Clara Home 1-2 L
7 Sep 2026 Estoril Away 0-0 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Famalicao 10 1.00 1.50
Arouca 10 1.60 1.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Famalicao and Arouca in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
6 Mar 2026 Primeira Liga Famalicao vs Arouca 1-0
23 Feb 2024 Primeira Liga Arouca vs Famalicao 3-2
22 Sep 2023 Primeira Liga Famalicao vs Arouca 1-0
3 Apr 2023 Primeira Liga Famalicao vs Arouca 0-1
10 Oct 2022 Primeira Liga Arouca vs Famalicao 4-1