Croatia Czech Republic

For this UEFA Nations League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 85% estimated probability. We also predict Croatia to win at 75%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    85%
    Stake High 64.9/100
    Odds 1.75 1xBet
    Best odds 1.75 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Croatia to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Low 15.5/100
    Odds 1.42 Bet9ja
    Best odds 1.42 Bet9ja
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the latest decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Latest odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 85.0% 1.75 57.1% +27.9 pp
Croatia to win 75.0% 1.42 70.4% +4.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Croatia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Nov 2026 England Away 1-2 L
6 Oct 2026 Spain Home 1-2 L
3 Oct 2026 England Home 0-7 L
29 Sep 2026 Spain Away 1-4 L
26 Sep 2026 Czech Republic Away 2-1 W

Czech Republic

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Nov 2026 Spain Home 0-2 L
6 Oct 2026 England Away 0-3 L
3 Oct 2026 Spain Away 1-3 L
29 Sep 2026 England Home 0-2 L
26 Sep 2026 Croatia Home 1-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Croatia 10 1.40 2.60
Czech Republic 10 0.90 2.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Croatia and Czech Republic in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
26 Sep 2026 UEFA Nations League Czech Republic vs Croatia 1-2
9 Oct 2025 World Cup UEFA Qualification Czech Republic vs Croatia 0-0
9 Jun 2025 World Cup UEFA Qualification Croatia vs Czech Republic 5-1
18 Jun 2021 Euro Croatia vs Czech Republic 1-1