Metallurg Magnitogorsk 5-3 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Finished

For this KHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win, with a 48% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 31%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 19.9/100
    Odds 2.85 1xBet Recorded P/L -19.89
    Best odds 2.85 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    31%
    Stake Low 6.8/100
    Odds 3.85 Vave Recorded P/L -7.37
    Best odds 3.92 Betwinner
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win 48.0% 2.85 35.1% +12.9 pp
Draw 31.0% 3.92 25.5% +5.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Jan 2024 SKA St. Petersburg Away 2-1 W
5 Jan 2024 Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Away 1-2 L
3 Jan 2024 Sochi Away 3-2 W
30 Dec 2023 Kunlun Red Star Home 4-1 W
28 Dec 2023 AK Bars Kazan Away 4-1 W

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Jan 2024 Traktor Chelyabinsk Away 3-1 W
5 Jan 2024 SKA St. Petersburg Away 2-1 W
3 Jan 2024 Barys Astana Home 4-5 L
30 Dec 2023 Dynamo Moscow Home 2-0 W
28 Dec 2023 Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod Away 5-3 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 10 2.40 2.30
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 10 2.80 1.50

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Metallurg Magnitogorsk and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
25 Sep 2023 KHL Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk 4-1
6 Jan 2023 KHL Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 3-2
3 Nov 2022 KHL Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk 4-1