Ottawa Senators 4-1 Dallas Stars

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 31% estimated probability. We also predict under 5.5 goals at 40%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    31%
    Stake Low 12.3/100
    Odds 4.69 1xBet Recorded P/L -13.03
    Best odds 4.84 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    40%
    Stake Low 8.4/100
    Odds 2.90 Stake.com Recorded P/L +17.20
    Best odds 2.93 Mystake
  3. Pick 3 Dallas Stars to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 0.0/100
    Odds 2.02 1xBet Recorded P/L -5.31
    Best odds 2.22 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 31.0% 4.84 20.7% +10.3 pp
Total score under 5.5 40.0% 2.93 34.1% +5.9 pp
Dallas Stars to win 48.0% 2.22 45.0% +3.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Ottawa Senators

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Feb 2024 Florida Panthers Away 2-3 L
17 Feb 2024 Chicago Blackhawks Away 2-3 L
16 Feb 2024 Anaheim Ducks Home 1-5 L
14 Feb 2024 Columbus Blue Jackets Home 6-3 W
11 Feb 2024 Toronto Maple Leafs Home 5-3 W

Dallas Stars

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Feb 2024 New York Rangers Away 1-3 L
19 Feb 2024 Boston Bruins Away 3-4 L
17 Feb 2024 Edmonton Oilers Home 3-4 L
16 Feb 2024 Nashville Predators Away 9-2 W
14 Feb 2024 Carolina Hurricanes Home 4-2 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Ottawa Senators 10 3.10 3.30
Dallas Stars 10 3.80 3.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Ottawa Senators and Dallas Stars in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
16 Dec 2023 NHL Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators 5-4
9 Dec 2022 NHL Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators 4-3