Philadelphia Flyers 2-6 Toronto Maple Leafs

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 30% estimated probability. We also predict Toronto Maple Leafs to win at 46%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    30%
    Stake Low 9.8/100
    Odds 4.47 1xBet Recorded P/L -11.75
    Best odds 4.84 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Toronto Maple Leafs to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    46%
    Stake Low 9.2/100
    Odds 2.47 1xBet Recorded P/L +13.55
    Best odds 2.47 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    47%
    Stake Low 5.6/100
    Odds 2.28 Mystake Recorded P/L -12.81
    Best odds 2.55 Parimatch
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 30.0% 4.84 20.7% +9.3 pp
Toronto Maple Leafs to win 46.0% 2.47 40.5% +5.5 pp
Total score under 5.5 47.0% 2.55 39.2% +7.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Philadelphia Flyers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Mar 2024 Tampa Bay Lightning Away 0-7 L
8 Mar 2024 Florida Panthers Away 2-1 W
5 Mar 2024 St. Louis Blues Home 1-2 L
3 Mar 2024 Ottawa Senators Home 4-2 W
2 Mar 2024 Washington Capitals Away 2-5 L

Toronto Maple Leafs

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Mar 2024 Montreal Canadiens Away 3-2 W
8 Mar 2024 Boston Bruins Away 1-4 L
7 Mar 2024 Buffalo Sabres Home 2-1 W
5 Mar 2024 Boston Bruins Home 1-4 L
3 Mar 2024 New York Rangers Home 4-3 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Philadelphia Flyers 10 2.80 3.50
Toronto Maple Leafs 10 3.40 3.10

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Philadelphia Flyers and Toronto Maple Leafs in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
16 Feb 2024 NHL Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers 4-3
9 Jan 2023 NHL Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs 2-6
22 Dec 2022 NHL Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers 4-3
2 Nov 2022 NHL Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers 5-2