Ottawa Senators 5-4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is under 5.5 goals, with a 43% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 28%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    43%
    Stake Low 8.5/100
    Odds 2.65 Betclic Recorded P/L -8.45
    Best odds 2.65 Betclic
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    28%
    Stake Low 8.0/100
    Odds 4.60 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -8.35
    Best odds 4.67 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 5.5 43.0% 2.65 37.7% +5.3 pp
Draw 28.0% 4.67 21.4% +6.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Ottawa Senators

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Oct 2024 Los Angeles Kings Home 8-7 W
7 Apr 2024 Washington Capitals Away 3-2 W
3 Apr 2024 Minnesota Wild Away 2-3 L
30 Mar 2024 Winnipeg Jets Away 3-2 W
28 Mar 2024 Chicago Blackhawks Home 2-0 W

Tampa Bay Lightning

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
29 Sep 2024 Nashville Predators Away 0-6 L
21 Apr 2024 Florida Panthers Away 2-3 L
13 Apr 2024 Washington Capitals Away 2-4 L
6 Apr 2024 Pittsburgh Penguins Away 4-5 L
30 Mar 2024 New York Islanders Home 4-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Ottawa Senators 10 3.80 3.20
Tampa Bay Lightning 10 3.00 3.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
4 Nov 2023 NHL Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning 4-6
1 Nov 2022 NHL Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators 4-3