Vegas Golden Knights 3-3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 66% estimated probability. We also predict over 5.5 goals at 64%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Vegas Golden Knights to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 33.1/100
    Odds 2.03 1xBet Recorded P/L -33.05
    Best odds 2.03 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 5.0/100
    Odds 1.61 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +8.16
    Best odds 1.69 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Vegas Golden Knights to win 66.0% 2.03 49.3% +16.7 pp
Total score over 5.5 64.0% 1.69 59.2% +4.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Vegas Golden Knights

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Oct 2026 Seattle Kraken Away 6-2 W
3 Oct 2026 Anaheim Ducks Home 3-4 L
30 Sep 2026 Chicago Blackhawks Home 5-2 W
12 Jun 2026 Carolina Hurricanes Away 2-4 L
10 Jun 2026 Carolina Hurricanes Home 3-5 L

Toronto Maple Leafs

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Apr 2026 San Jose Sharks Away 1-4 L
31 Mar 2026 Anaheim Ducks Away 4-4 D
8 Mar 2026 Tampa Bay Lightning Home 2-5 L
6 Mar 2026 New York Rangers Away 2-6 L
5 Mar 2026 New Jersey Devils Away 3-3 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Vegas Golden Knights 10 3.80 3.20
Toronto Maple Leafs 10 2.40 4.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Vegas Golden Knights and Toronto Maple Leafs in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
24 Jan 2026 NHL Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights 3-6
16 Jan 2026 NHL Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs 5-5
6 Mar 2025 NHL Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2
21 Nov 2024 NHL Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights 3-0
28 Feb 2024 NHL Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights 2-6