EHC Biel 2-3 HC Lugano

Finished

For this NLA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 5.5 goals, with a 56% estimated probability. We also predict HC Lugano to win at 51%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    56%
    Stake Med 27.6/100
    Odds 2.55 bet365 Recorded P/L +42.80
    Best odds 2.55 bet365
  2. Pick 2 HC Lugano to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    51%
    Stake Med 25.7/100
    Odds 2.94 22Bet Recorded P/L +49.82
    Best odds 2.94 22Bet
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    32%
    Stake Low 13.9/100
    Odds 4.75 bet365 Recorded P/L -13.87
    Best odds 4.75 bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 5.5 56.0% 2.55 39.2% +16.8 pp
HC Lugano to win 51.0% 2.94 34.0% +17.0 pp
Draw 32.0% 4.75 21.1% +10.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

EHC Biel

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
9 Oct 2026 SC Bern Away 2-4 L
2 Oct 2026 Lausanne HC Away 4-7 L
29 Sep 2026 ZSC Lions Away 3-6 L
24 Sep 2026 EHC Kloten Flyers Away 6-0 W
15 Sep 2026 Fribourg Gotteron Home 4-2 W

HC Lugano

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
9 Oct 2026 ZSC Lions Home 2-2 D
7 Oct 2026 Lausanne HC Away 5-2 W
4 Oct 2026 HC Ajoie Away 4-5 L
2 Oct 2026 Rapperswil Jona Lakers Home 5-2 W
29 Sep 2026 SCL Tigers Away 3-4 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
EHC Biel 10 3.60 3.50
HC Lugano 10 3.20 3.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between EHC Biel and HC Lugano in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
24 Feb 2026 NLA HC Lugano vs EHC Biel 3-3
2 Jan 2026 NLA EHC Biel vs HC Lugano 3-1
15 Nov 2025 NLA HC Lugano vs EHC Biel 6-0
1 Mar 2025 NLA HC Lugano vs EHC Biel 4-2
7 Jan 2025 NLA EHC Biel vs HC Lugano 2-1