Severstal Cherepovets 5-2 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Finished

For this KHL match, BetFTW's top pick is under 5.5 goals, with a 69% estimated probability. We also predict Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    69%
    Stake Low 14.6/100
    Odds 1.57 1xBet Recorded P/L -24.40
    Best odds 1.70 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 9.8/100
    Odds 2.04 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -12.86
    Best odds 2.12 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    30%
    Stake Low 8.1/100
    Odds 4.20 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -8.13
    Best odds 4.20 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 5.5 69.0% 1.70 58.8% +10.2 pp
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win 54.0% 2.12 47.2% +6.8 pp
Draw 30.0% 4.20 23.8% +6.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Severstal Cherepovets

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
13 Oct 2026 SKA St. Petersburg Home 2-0 W
10 Oct 2026 AK Bars Kazan Away 4-1 W
8 Oct 2026 Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod Away 3-2 W
6 Oct 2026 SKA St. Petersburg Away 5-2 W
3 Oct 2026 Kunlun Red Star Home 1-1 D

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Dinamo Minsk Home 6-1 W
3 Oct 2026 Dinamo Minsk Away 3-4 L
30 Sep 2026 Sibir Novosibirsk Home 3-1 W
27 Sep 2026 Sibir Novosibirsk Away 2-1 W
25 Sep 2026 Amur Khabarovsk Away 1-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Severstal Cherepovets 10 3.00 1.50
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 10 2.40 1.90

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Severstal Cherepovets and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
10 Sep 2026 KHL Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Severstal Cherepovets 1-1
9 Mar 2026 KHL Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Severstal Cherepovets 3-3
2 Mar 2026 KHL Severstal Cherepovets vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2-2
28 Nov 2025 KHL Severstal Cherepovets vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2-0
13 Oct 2025 KHL Severstal Cherepovets vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 4-3