Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2 Detroit Red Wings

Finished

For this NHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 36% estimated probability. We also predict under 5.5 goals at 49%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Detroit Red Wings to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    36%
    Stake Low 20.0/100
    Odds 5.00 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -20.00
    Best odds 5.00 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    49%
    Stake Low 9.2/100
    Odds 2.28 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -9.16
    Best odds 2.28 LeoVegas Sport
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    25%
    Stake Low 5.8/100
    Odds 4.90 20Bet Recorded P/L -5.77
    Best odds 4.90 20Bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Detroit Red Wings to win 36.0% 5.00 20.0% +16.0 pp
Total score under 5.5 49.0% 2.28 43.9% +5.1 pp
Draw 25.0% 4.90 20.4% +4.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Nashville Predators Away 4-4 D
25 Oct 2026 Utah Mammoth Away 4-4 D
24 Oct 2026 Colorado Avalanche Away 3-6 L
17 Oct 2026 Vancouver Canucks Home 4-2 W
11 Apr 2026 Boston Bruins Away 2-1 W

Detroit Red Wings

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Nov 2026 Florida Panthers Away 5-3 W
31 Oct 2026 St. Louis Blues Home 4-5 L
27 Oct 2026 Edmonton Oilers Away 3-3 D
25 Oct 2026 Calgary Flames Away 1-4 L
23 Oct 2026 Vancouver Canucks Away 5-2 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Tampa Bay Lightning 10 3.80 2.80
Detroit Red Wings 10 3.10 4.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Tampa Bay Lightning and Detroit Red Wings in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
28 Nov 2025 NHL Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning 3-6
8 Feb 2025 NHL Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning 3-6
26 Jan 2025 NHL Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning 2-0
19 Jan 2025 NHL Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings 5-1
22 Jan 2024 NHL Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1