Alex Michelsen Alejandro Tabilo

For this ATP Stockholm match, BetFTW's top pick is Alejandro Tabilo to win, with a 58% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alejandro Tabilo to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Med 44.8/100
    Odds 4.17 DraftKings
    Best odds 4.33 bet365
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 15.5/100
    Odds 2.60 Betway
    Best odds 2.60 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the latest decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Latest odds Implied probability Difference
Alejandro Tabilo to win 58.0% 4.17 24.0% +34.0 pp
Total score over 2.5 48.0% 2.60 38.5% +9.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alex Michelsen

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Nov 2026 Juan Manuel Cerundolo Home 2-0 W
9 Nov 2026 Yannick Hanfmann Home 2-0 W
3 Nov 2026 Jiri Lehecka Home 2-1 W
29 Oct 2026 Arthur Fils Home 1-2 L
27 Oct 2026 Botic Van De Zandschulp Home 2-1 W

Alejandro Tabilo

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Nov 2026 Rafael Jodar Home 0-2 L
27 Oct 2026 Rafael Jodar Home 0-2 L
3 Oct 2026 Denis Shapovalov Away 1-2 L
30 Sep 2026 Tommy Paul Home 2-0 W
25 Sep 2026 Adrian Mannarino Home 0-2 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Alex Michelsen 10 1.60 1.00
Alejandro Tabilo 10 0.80 1.60