Ben Shelton Arthur Fils

For this ATP World Tour - Finals match, BetFTW's top pick is Arthur Fils to win, with a 46% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 sets at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Arthur Fils to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    46%
    Stake Low 14.1/100
    Odds 2.69 1Bet
    Best odds 2.69 1Bet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Low 9.4/100
    Odds 2.23 LeoVegas Sport
    Best odds 2.23 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the latest decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Latest odds Implied probability Difference
Arthur Fils to win 46.0% 2.69 37.2% +8.8 pp
Total score over 2.5 50.0% 2.23 44.8% +5.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Ben Shelton

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 Nov 2026 Carlos Alcaraz Home 0-2 L
6 Nov 2026 Tommy Paul Home 2-1 W
27 Oct 2026 Aleksandar Kovacevic Home 2-1 W
11 Oct 2026 Arthur Gea Home 0-2 L
9 Oct 2026 Daniel Altmaier Home 2-0 W

Arthur Fils

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Nov 2026 Taylor Fritz Home 0-2 L
29 Oct 2026 Alex Michelsen Away 2-1 W
27 Oct 2026 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Away 2-0 W
12 Oct 2026 Botic Van De Zandschulp Home 0-2 L
10 Oct 2026 Pavel Kotov Home 2-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Player Matches Sets won Sets lost
Ben Shelton 10 1.60 1.40
Arthur Fils 10 1.40 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Ben Shelton and Arthur Fils in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
26 Oct 2024 ATP Basel Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils 2-0
29 Sep 2024 ATP Tokyo Arthur Fils vs Ben Shelton 2-1
22 Sep 2023 Laver Cup Arthur Fils vs Ben Shelton 0-2