Melbourne United 94-74 NZ Breakers

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is under 192.0 points, with a 71% estimated probability. We also predict Melbourne United to win with -8.5 handicap at 61%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 192.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 32.3/100
    Odds 1.75 Goldenbet Recorded P/L +25.67
    Best odds 1.77 20Bet
  2. Pick 2 Melbourne United to win with -8.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 22.8/100
    Odds 2.02 Stake.com Recorded P/L +23.22
    Best odds 2.02 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 Melbourne United to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake Low 0.0/100
    Odds 1.31 1xBet Recorded P/L +3.36
    Best odds 1.36 Bwin
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 192.0 71.0% 1.77 56.5% +14.5 pp
Melbourne United to win with -8.5 handicap 61.0% 2.02 49.5% +11.5 pp
Melbourne United to win 76.0% 1.36 73.5% +2.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Melbourne United

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Cairns Taipans Away 113-97 W
25 Oct 2026 Sydney Kings Home 105-95 W
18 Oct 2026 Illawarra Hawks Home 89-91 L
10 Oct 2026 South East Melbourne Phoenix Away 104-99 W
7 Oct 2026 Adelaide 36ers Away 96-91 W

NZ Breakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Oct 2026 Adelaide 36ers Home 101-108 L
25 Oct 2026 Cairns Taipans Away 84-86 L
18 Oct 2026 Tasmania JackJumpers Away 92-98 L
14 Oct 2026 Sydney Kings Away 102-101 W
10 Oct 2026 Perth Wildcats Away 84-100 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Melbourne United 10 94.7 89.0
NZ Breakers 10 92.2 90.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Melbourne United and NZ Breakers in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
30 Jan 2026 NBL NZ Breakers vs Melbourne United 97-95
19 Oct 2025 NBL Melbourne United vs NZ Breakers 104-88
21 Sep 2025 NBL Melbourne United vs NZ Breakers 114-82
13 Jan 2025 NBL NZ Breakers vs Melbourne United 89-91
5 Dec 2024 NBL NZ Breakers vs Melbourne United 70-97