Tasmania JackJumpers NZ Breakers

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is under 188.0 points, with a 84% estimated probability. We also predict under 186.0 points at 82%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 188.0 Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    84%
    Stake High 64.7/100
    Odds 1.83 Fezbet
    Best odds 1.83 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 186.0 Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    82%
    Stake High 61.3/100
    Odds 1.87 10bet
    Best odds 1.87 10bet
  3. Pick 3 Tasmania JackJumpers to win with -6.5 handicap Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 22.0/100
    Odds 2.00 DraftKings
    Best odds 2.00 DraftKings
  4. Pick 4 Tasmania JackJumpers to win with -7.5 handicap Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 20.3/100
    Odds 2.06 Goldenbet
    Best odds 2.06 Goldenbet
  5. Pick 5 Tasmania JackJumpers to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Low 17.5/100
    Odds 1.46 LeoVegas Sport
    Best odds 1.48 FanDuel
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the latest decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Latest odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 188.0 84.0% 1.83 54.6% +29.4 pp
Total score under 186.0 82.0% 1.87 53.5% +28.5 pp
Tasmania JackJumpers to win with -6.5 handicap 61.0% 2.00 50.0% +11.0 pp
Tasmania JackJumpers to win with -7.5 handicap 59.0% 2.06 48.5% +10.5 pp
Tasmania JackJumpers to win 74.0% 1.46 68.5% +5.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Tasmania JackJumpers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 South East Melbourne Phoenix Away 98-89 W
30 Oct 2026 Sydney Kings Home 68-71 L
18 Oct 2026 NZ Breakers Home 98-92 W
16 Oct 2026 Adelaide 36ers Home 88-94 L
9 Oct 2026 Illawarra Hawks Away 122-112 W

NZ Breakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
2 Nov 2026 Melbourne United Away 74-94 L
30 Oct 2026 Adelaide 36ers Home 101-108 L
25 Oct 2026 Cairns Taipans Away 84-86 L
18 Oct 2026 Tasmania JackJumpers Away 92-98 L
14 Oct 2026 Sydney Kings Away 102-101 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Tasmania JackJumpers 10 91.8 90.5
NZ Breakers 10 90.1 91.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Tasmania JackJumpers and NZ Breakers in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
18 Oct 2026 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers vs NZ Breakers 98-92
1 Feb 2026 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers vs NZ Breakers 91-89
26 Dec 2025 NBL Tasmania JackJumpers vs NZ Breakers 80-81
6 Dec 2025 NBL NZ Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers 99-86
17 Oct 2025 NBL NZ Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers 82-65