Arkansas State Red Wolves 65-82 UT Martin Skyhawks

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Arkansas State Red Wolves to win with -6.5 handicap, with a 61% estimated probability. We also predict under 156.0 points at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Arkansas State Red Wolves to win with -6.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 24.6/100
    Odds 2.07 Fezbet Recorded P/L -24.55
    Best odds 2.07 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 156.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 11.3/100
    Odds 1.86 Fezbet Recorded P/L +9.74
    Best odds 1.86 Fezbet
  3. Pick 3 Arkansas State Red Wolves to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Low 10.6/100
    Odds 1.41 Stake.com Recorded P/L -10.59
    Best odds 1.41 Stake.com
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Arkansas State Red Wolves to win with -6.5 handicap 61.0% 2.07 48.3% +12.7 pp
Total score under 156.0 59.0% 1.86 53.8% +5.2 pp
Arkansas State Red Wolves to win 74.0% 1.41 70.9% +3.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Nov 2026 Toledo Rockets Home 71-70 W
6 Mar 2026 Georgia Southern Home 77-80 L
28 Feb 2026 Louisiana-Lafayette Home 81-58 W
25 Feb 2026 Southern Mississippi Home 89-84 W
21 Feb 2026 Louisiana Monroe Warhawks Away 102-94 W

UT Martin Skyhawks

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Nov 2026 Tulane Green Wave Away 98-100 L
6 Mar 2026 Eastern Illinois Home 66-63 W
28 Feb 2026 Tennessee State Tigers Home 42-67 L
27 Feb 2026 Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles Home 64-49 W
18 Feb 2026 Southeast Missouri State Home 53-56 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Arkansas State Red Wolves 10 80.1 74.3
UT Martin Skyhawks 10 64.3 62.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Arkansas State Red Wolves and UT Martin Skyhawks in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
22 Nov 2022 NCAA Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UT Martin Skyhawks 70-64