Troy State 74-69 Loyola Marymount

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Troy State to win, with a 78% estimated probability. We also predict Troy State to win with +2.5 handicap at 81%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Troy State to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    78%
    Stake High 55.6/100
    Odds 1.98 Bwin Recorded P/L +56.00
    Best odds 2.00 William Hill
  2. Pick 2 Troy State to win with +2.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    81%
    Stake High 54.4/100
    Odds 1.71 Betway Recorded P/L +43.34
    Best odds 1.77 Betway
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 149.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake Med 46.7/100
    Odds 1.82 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +38.32
    Best odds 1.82 Marathonbet
  4. Pick 4 Total score under 146.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 38.4/100
    Odds 1.89 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +34.19
    Best odds 1.89 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Troy State to win 78.0% 2.00 50.0% +28.0 pp
Troy State to win with +2.5 handicap 81.0% 1.77 56.5% +24.5 pp
Total score under 149.0 76.0% 1.82 54.9% +21.1 pp
Total score under 146.0 71.0% 1.89 52.9% +18.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Troy State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Nov 2026 Massachusetts Home 60-71 L
25 Feb 2026 Louisiana-Lafayette Home 78-59 W
21 Feb 2026 South Alabama Jaguars Away 54-65 L
15 Feb 2026 Southern Mississippi Away 65-69 L
31 Jan 2026 Appalachian State Home 44-66 L

Loyola Marymount

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Nov 2026 Queens University Home 95-96 L
6 Mar 2026 San Diego Toreros Home 62-66 L
1 Mar 2026 Seattle Redhawks Home 66-71 L
26 Feb 2026 Washington State Cougars Home 67-66 W
21 Feb 2026 San Diego Toreros Away 77-65 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Troy State 10 78.8 76.0
Loyola Marymount 10 74.1 77.4

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Troy State and Loyola Marymount in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
15 Nov 2025 NCAA Loyola Marymount vs Troy State 74-63