Brentford 1-2 Liverpool

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict Liverpool to win at 41%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 30.7/100
    Odds 1.60 Novibet Recorded P/L +18.40
    Best odds 1.60 Novibet
  2. Pick 2 Liverpool to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    41%
    Stake Low 9.4/100
    Odds 2.86 1xBet Recorded P/L +18.91
    Best odds 2.90 bet-at-home
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 74.0% 1.60 62.5% +11.5 pp
Liverpool to win 41.0% 2.90 34.5% +6.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Brentford

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 Aston Villa Away 2-2 D
18 Sep 2026 Chelsea Home 3-0 W
15 Sep 2026 Reading Away 2-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Bournemouth Away 2-2 D
5 Sep 2026 Sunderland Home 1-1 D

Liverpool

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Oct 2026 LASK Linz Away 6-3 W
11 Oct 2026 Man City Home 0-3 L
20 Sep 2026 Bournemouth Away 1-0 W
15 Sep 2026 Tottenham Home 3-1 W
12 Sep 2026 Fulham Home 0-0 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Brentford 10 2.30 1.10
Liverpool 10 2.00 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Brentford and Liverpool in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
24 May 2026 Premier League Liverpool vs Brentford 1-1
25 Oct 2025 Premier League Brentford vs Liverpool 3-2
25 Aug 2024 Premier League Liverpool vs Brentford 2-0
17 Feb 2024 Premier League Brentford vs Liverpool 1-4
12 Nov 2023 Premier League Liverpool vs Brentford 3-0