Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla

Finished

For this La Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 19%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Low 12.1/100
    Odds 1.42 Novibet Recorded P/L +7.30
    Best odds 1.45 10bet
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    19%
    Stake Low 5.5/100
    Odds 7.00 bet365 Recorded P/L -5.50
    Best odds 7.00 bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 74.0% 1.45 69.0% +5.0 pp
Draw 19.0% 7.00 14.3% +4.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Real Madrid

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Oct 2026 Roma Away 4-3 W
10 Oct 2026 Villarreal Home 1-0 W
20 Sep 2026 Atletico Madrid Away 1-2 L
15 Sep 2026 Elche Away 3-2 W
12 Sep 2026 Rayo Vallecano Home 4-1 W

Sevilla

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Oct 2026 Levante Away 3-3 D
2 Oct 2026 Aston Villa Home 1-3 L
19 Sep 2026 Barcelona Home 1-3 L
16 Sep 2026 Deportivo La Coruna Away 1-0 W
11 Sep 2026 Valencia Home 1-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Real Madrid 10 2.50 1.20
Sevilla 10 1.50 1.50

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Real Madrid and Sevilla in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
17 May 2026 La Liga Sevilla vs Real Madrid 0-1
20 Dec 2025 La Liga Real Madrid vs Sevilla 2-0
18 May 2025 La Liga Sevilla vs Real Madrid 0-2
22 Dec 2024 La Liga Real Madrid vs Sevilla 4-2
25 Feb 2024 La Liga Real Madrid vs Sevilla 1-0