Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 83% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 20%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    83%
    Stake Low 15.0/100
    Odds 1.25 1Bet Recorded P/L +3.75
    Best odds 1.25 1Bet
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    20%
    Stake Low 7.7/100
    Odds 7.50 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -7.69
    Best odds 7.50 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 83.0% 1.25 80.0% +3.0 pp
Draw 20.0% 7.50 13.3% +6.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Barcelona

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Alaves Home 6-1 W
25 Oct 2026 Real Madrid Home 1-2 L
20 Oct 2026 PSG Away 2-4 L
17 Oct 2026 Real Betis Away 5-2 W
13 Oct 2026 Galatasaray Away 4-1 W

Aston Villa

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Fulham Home 1-1 D
28 Oct 2026 Bournemouth Away 0-3 L
24 Oct 2026 Man City Home 2-1 W
21 Oct 2026 Viking Home 3-1 W
17 Oct 2026 Newcastle Away 1-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Barcelona 10 4.00 1.60
Aston Villa 10 2.40 1.20