AEK Athens Real Madrid

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 81% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 27%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    81%
    Stake Med 25.1/100
    Odds 1.34 Novibet
    Best odds 1.35 20Bet
  2. Pick 2 Draw Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    27%
    Stake Low 15.9/100
    Odds 7.60 Stake.com
    Best odds 7.60 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 AEK Athens to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Estimated probability
    14%
    Stake Low 6.8/100
    Odds 13.00 Betsson
    Best odds 13.00 Betsson
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the latest decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Latest odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 81.0% 1.34 74.6% +6.4 pp
Draw 27.0% 7.60 13.2% +13.8 pp
AEK Athens to win 14.0% 13.00 7.7% +6.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

AEK Athens

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 Panathinaikos Away 0-2 L
28 Oct 2026 PAOK FC Away 1-3 L
24 Oct 2026 Panetolikos Home 5-0 W
20 Oct 2026 Man City Away 1-5 L
14 Oct 2026 Shakhtar Donetsk Away 1-3 L

Real Madrid

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
1 Nov 2026 Racing Santander Away 3-0 W
25 Oct 2026 Barcelona Away 2-1 W
21 Oct 2026 RB Leipzig Home 4-1 W
18 Oct 2026 Sevilla Home 4-1 W
14 Oct 2026 Roma Away 4-3 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
AEK Athens 10 2.30 1.60
Real Madrid 10 2.80 1.20