Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1-0 Severstal Cherepovets

Finished

For this KHL match, BetFTW's top pick is Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win, with a 72% estimated probability. We also predict under 5.5 goals at 65%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 40.9/100
    Odds 1.90 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +36.80
    Best odds 1.90 Vbet Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    65%
    Stake Low 6.7/100
    Odds 1.60 1xBet Recorded P/L +4.00
    Best odds 1.60 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl to win 72.0% 1.90 52.6% +19.4 pp
Total score under 5.5 65.0% 1.60 62.5% +2.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Oct 2026 Dynamo Moscow Home 1-1 D
17 Oct 2026 Sochi Away 6-3 W
15 Oct 2026 Severstal Cherepovets Away 2-5 L
10 Oct 2026 Dinamo Minsk Home 6-1 W
3 Oct 2026 Dinamo Minsk Away 3-4 L

Severstal Cherepovets

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Oct 2026 HC Spartak Away 1-3 L
19 Oct 2026 Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod Home 4-1 W
15 Oct 2026 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Home 5-2 W
13 Oct 2026 SKA St. Petersburg Home 2-0 W
10 Oct 2026 AK Bars Kazan Away 4-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 10 2.60 2.50
Severstal Cherepovets 10 3.10 1.60

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Lokomotiv Yaroslavl and Severstal Cherepovets in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
15 Oct 2026 KHL Severstal Cherepovets vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 5-2
10 Sep 2026 KHL Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Severstal Cherepovets 1-1
9 Mar 2026 KHL Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Severstal Cherepovets 3-3
2 Mar 2026 KHL Severstal Cherepovets vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2-2
28 Nov 2025 KHL Severstal Cherepovets vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2-0