Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg

Finished

For this Bundesliga match, BetFTW's top pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win, with a 75% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 73%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Bayer Leverkusen to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    75%
    Stake Med 41.7/100
    Odds 1.75 Interwetten Recorded P/L +31.25
    Best odds 1.75 Interwetten
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    73%
    Stake Low 19.0/100
    Odds 1.50 Betano Recorded P/L +9.50
    Best odds 1.50 Betano
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Bayer Leverkusen to win 75.0% 1.75 57.1% +17.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 73.0% 1.50 66.7% +6.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Bayer Leverkusen

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Oct 2026 Lech Poznan Away 4-0 W
10 Oct 2026 Mainz Away 4-3 W
20 Sep 2026 RB Leipzig Home 2-0 W
16 Sep 2026 NK Celje Home 2-0 W
12 Sep 2026 Augsburg Away 2-2 D

Freiburg

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Oct 2026 Baumit Jablonec Home 3-2 W
11 Oct 2026 Schalke 04 Home 2-1 W
19 Sep 2026 Eintracht Frankfurt Away 2-2 D
12 Sep 2026 Borussia Monchengladbach Home 5-0 W
5 Sep 2026 SC Paderborn 07 Away 1-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Bayer Leverkusen 10 2.80 1.00
Freiburg 10 2.70 1.20

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
7 Mar 2026 Bundesliga Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen 3-3
4 May 2025 Bundesliga Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen 2-2
21 Dec 2024 Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg 5-1
17 Mar 2024 Bundesliga Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen 2-3
29 Oct 2023 Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg 2-1