Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal

Finished

BetFTW predicts over 2.5 goals for Liverpool vs Villarreal, with a 74% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Low 17.5/100
    Odds 1.46 Novibet Recorded P/L +11.69
    Best odds 1.53 20Bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 2.5 74.0% 1.53 65.4% +8.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Liverpool

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Oct 2026 Brentford Away 2-1 W
14 Oct 2026 LASK Linz Away 6-3 W
11 Oct 2026 Man City Home 0-3 L
20 Sep 2026 Bournemouth Away 1-0 W
15 Sep 2026 Tottenham Home 3-1 W

Villarreal

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Oct 2026 Elche Home 0-0 D
13 Oct 2026 Napoli Home 3-1 W
10 Oct 2026 Real Madrid Away 0-1 L
20 Sep 2026 Levante Home 3-1 W
17 Sep 2026 Malaga Away 3-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Liverpool 10 2.00 1.30
Villarreal 10 1.60 1.50

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Liverpool and Villarreal in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
3 May 2022 Champions League Villarreal vs Liverpool 2-3
27 Apr 2022 Champions League Liverpool vs Villarreal 2-0