Villarreal 0-6 PSG

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 41% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 78%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    41%
    Stake Med 25.1/100
    Odds 4.70 Ivibet Recorded P/L -25.49
    Best odds 4.81 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    78%
    Stake Low 20.1/100
    Odds 1.38 Novibet Recorded P/L +7.64
    Best odds 1.38 Novibet
  3. Pick 3 Villarreal to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    27%
    Stake Low 7.8/100
    Odds 4.80 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -9.20
    Best odds 5.10 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 41.0% 4.81 20.8% +20.2 pp
Total score over 2.5 78.0% 1.38 72.5% +5.5 pp
Villarreal to win 27.0% 5.10 19.6% +7.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Villarreal

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Oct 2026 Espanyol Home 0-1 L
24 Oct 2026 Valencia Away 2-1 W
20 Oct 2026 Liverpool Away 3-4 L
17 Oct 2026 Elche Home 0-0 D
13 Oct 2026 Napoli Home 3-1 W

PSG

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Oct 2026 Le Havre Away 5-1 W
26 Oct 2026 Lyon Home 2-0 W
20 Oct 2026 Barcelona Home 4-2 W
17 Oct 2026 Strasbourg Away 3-1 W
14 Oct 2026 Man City Away 4-2 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Villarreal 10 1.70 1.50
PSG 10 3.10 1.10